Tag Archives: Republicans

2014: Predictions (10-24-13)

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I know; I know; it’s still over a year before the elections, but let’s talk about 2014.

  1. House: The shutdown is over and it has, for the time being; damaged the GOP.  This may or may not last until the election.  Although a lot of pundits are claiming the Democrats will take back the House; Nate Silver isn’t so sure and Nate Silver is usually right about these things.  It’s definitely not hopeless for the Democrats, however.  For now, I’m predicting toss-up.
  2. Wendy Davis is running! Again, unlikely to win; but Greg Abbot (the likely GOP candidate) has a single digit lead in the polls, so too early to tell.  Lean Republican.
  3. Alaska Senate: Democrat Mark Beigch is up for re-election.  Neither of his probable opponents are good; and I concur with most polls to put this at leaning democrat.
  4. North Carolina Senate: I would say leaning democrat, but NC has really bad voter suppression laws; so toss-up.
  5. Arkansas Senate: Toss-up
  6. Louisiana Senate: Toss-up
  7. Georgia Senate: Lean Republican
  8. Kentucky Senate: Toss-up
  9. Montana Senate: Lean Republican
  10. West Virginia Senate: Likely Republican
  11. South Dakota Senate: Safe Republican.
  12. Michigan Senate: Lean Democrat
  13. Iowa Senate: Lean Democrat
  14. Pennsylvania Governor: Toss-up
  15. Florida Governor: Toss-up
  16. Michigan Governor: Toss-up
  17. Maine Governor: Toss-up
  18. Illinois Governor: Toss-up
  19. Wisconsin Governor: Likely Republican

Please Note: I’m no political scientist.  I have mostly surveyed other people’s predictions to make mine.  Re-use at your own risk.

Not Fooled By Libertarians

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A couple weeks ago, I heard an interesting NPR story on libertarians. An interesting recurring theme was how the Libertarians would win over anti-war young people: those of us who supported Obama because of Iraq and were disappointed by his intervention in Syria.

Yes, it will.  Those who are upper-middle class members, have parents to get them through college, and will probably have upper-middle class jobs as adults.  The people who benefit from inequality

But those of us who care about jobs, the environment, gun control,voting rights and inequality will not be fooled.  Libertarians are Republicans with a few sane ideas.

They aren’t totally unhypocritical like they portray themselves as.  Rand Paul may talk about the evils of government, but none of that matters when it comes down to women’s health.

Libertarians aren’t supportive of issues young people such as myself believe in, like protecting the environment.  They want to cut taxes for the rich and continue corporate welfare, allowing inequality to grow exponentially as it is doing now.

Guns are more important than safety.  An important libertarian ideal.

And leaving women out of this “freedom from government” thing is just not cool.

While we should be considering legalizing marijuana and getting rid of drones, there are liberals sounding the alarm on these issues as well.  Congressional Democrats should embrace the support of libertarians if they agree on certain issues.

But VOTING for a Libertarian?  That’s just disgusting.